Scoring & Tiers
Score
0–100 composite score. Higher = stronger edge. Made up of 5 components below.
Elite
80+ — Highest confidence. All signals aligned.
Strong
65–79 — Multiple strong signals. Good plays.
Value
50–64 — Some signal but incomplete. Use with caution.
Score Components (max points)
Minutes (33)
Player's recent minutes vs season average. ↑ trending up = more opportunity. Biggest single factor.
Line Move (30)
How much the line moved since open. Big move in your direction = sharp money behind it.
Def. Matchup (20)
Opponent's defensive rank. #1 = worst defense = most points/rebounds/assists allowed.
Hit Rate (10)
How often player has hit this line in L5 and L10 games. Both 80%+ = max points.
Proj. Gap (7)
Model projection vs current line. 15%+ above line = max points. Uses min × per-min rate × matchup mult.
Table Columns
Move
↑ = line moved up (harder to hit over). For unders, down moves are favorable. Sharp money signal.
Proj
Model's projected stat using season avg minutes × per-minute production × matchup multiplier.
Edge%
How much projection exceeds the line. Positive = model likes the over.
L5 / L10
Hit rate over last 5 and 10 games for this exact prop. From DraftKings data.
Min
Season average minutes. Arrow shows trend: ▲ up, ▼ down, → stable.
Conf
Sample size confidence. Green = 8+ games, Yellow = 4–7, Red = under 4.
Results Tab
Logging
Click any prop → detail panel → "+ Log Result After Game". Enter WIN / LOSS / PUSH after the game ends.
Live Tracker
When games are in progress, the Results tab shows KOTC live stats for any props you logged today, updated in real time.
Hit Rate
Your personal hit rate tracked over time. Elite hit rate = only your logged Elite-tier props.